PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, picks and predictions
PSG welcomes Borussia Dortmund to Parc des Princes for the 2nd leg of its UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Dortmund won the 1st leg at home 1-0, ending with 42% possession, 13 shots, and 4 shots on frame. PSG ended with 14 shots and 3 shots on frame. F Niclas Fullkrug scored the lone goal in the 36th minute.
Dortmund beat Atletico Madrid a combined 5-4 in the quarterfinals and PSV a combined 3-1 in the round of 16. Dortmund and PSG played in the group stage with PSG winning 2-0 in France and a 1-1 draw being the result in Germany.
PSG, which sits atop Ligue 1, beat Barcelona a combined 6-4 in the quarterfinals and Real Sociedad a combined 4-1 in the round of 16. PSG went 2-2-2 in the group stage. It is led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has tallied 8 goals in 11 Champions League matches.
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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | PSG -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Draw +370
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +122 | U: -148)
PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions
Prediction
PSG 1, Borussia Dortmund 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+370).
PSG to win outright has no value, and it is unlikely that Dortmund pulls off the upset. PSG has not played that well at home. It lost 3-2 to Barcelona at home in the quarterfinals, ending with 0.7 fewer expected goals.
While beating Real Sociedad 2-0 in the round of 16, PSG ended with only 0.5 more expected goals. Dortmund beat both AC Milan and Newcastle United on the road in the group stage.
Considering how it defended against PSG in the 1st leg, the best play here is DRAW (+370).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-148).
While the 1st leg had a plethora of scoring opportunities, there was just 1 converted. Dortmund has scored more than 2 goals in just 2 of 11 Champions League games, and it has scored 1 or fewer in 7 of those.
PSG has topped 2 in just 2 of 11 games as well and has had fewer than 1.5 expected goals in 6 of 11. It has allowed just 7 goals in 5 games following the group stage.
Both teams have defenses that are playing well enough to bring value to the Under, and this is a lofty total considering the playmakers taking the pitch. With that in mind, back UNDER 3.5 (-148).
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